In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. October climate data across southeast Arizona. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Farmers' Almanac Calling for Cold Winter With Average Snowfall Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. Questions? NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. What's in the Farmers' Almanac forecast for this winter? Please try another search. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. video. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. Phoenix, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. Therefore, we will likely see periods that are warmer or colder in each respective region of the country when compared to what is shown above. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Here was the tweet the office issued. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. Phoenix, AZ Monthly Weather Forecast - weather.com - The Weather Channel Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. In a couple of words: its nice! The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. Well, until it's August. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. For more detailed information, click the link below. Mostly cloudy. January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For - Arizona Weather Force The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac This fall, the almanac forecasted lower-than-usual temperatures across the United States, with cold temperatures taking over for good in late November. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. November climate data across southeast Arizona. (100 percent delivery time) The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. Click on hotel for more details. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer, drier South with ongoing La Nina National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. National Weather Service For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. The annual monsoon was not quite as active as it was in 2021 with rainfall amounts ranging widely across the metro area from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. Winter Outlook 2022-23 Has Colder Risks For North, East The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Tucson monthly climate reports for 2022 - National Weather Service (Weather station: Payson, USA). . Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. So, what about this month? Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! Old Farmer's Almanac predicts cold 2021-2022 winter weather in US So what's in store? Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. US Dept of Commerce According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. Page, AZ Weather History | Weather Underground Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Last winter, Boston finished the season with. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. NWS Tucson Arizona. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. Click on the images below for larger view. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . Search. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. We say absolutely! A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. More snow? Here's Michigan's winter 2022-2023 outlook On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. . The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. Get more stories delivered right to your email. The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal.

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